Last updated on June 19th, 2024 at 06:18 am
House prices in the U.S. are always up and down.
However, some people ask whether it is going to crash in South Florida’s housing market as early as 2024 or even 2025.
According to the reports by experts, South Florida’s housing market is originally still strong and has no signs of crashing with such a high influx moving to South Florida.
South Florida isn’t acting like the rest of the United States.
What is a housing bubble
A housing bubble is said to occur when the price of housing in a particular market, or region, becomes very inflated quickly and is unsustainable—normally at the peak in a housing boom, very much accelerated by speculation and hype.
What happens when it bursts
Eventually, when this bubble bursts, the prices of houses drop drastically—what one might call a housing crash—which in effect brings down the values of the homes and consequently reduces the net wealth of the home owners.
It is through this downside process that general financial sufferings are caused to not only the larger economy but also to businesses with close connections to the housing market, with losses which also contribute to the general depression of the local economy.
A housing bubble, in most cases, is majorly caused by low interest rates, where supply is limited for housing, in high demand, and when speculations by investors and buyers take over the market.
High unemployment might also trigger a housing crisis since the loss of jobs leads to the sale of single-family homes.
Current Florida Employment Data
- One of the strongest job markets in the country.
- With statistics from October 2022, the unemployment rate in the Miami-Fort Lauderdale-West Palm Beach metro area was 2.3% [compared to 3.7% nationally].
What cities are part of South Florida
South Florida is much sought after destination in the U.S.
It typically includes the following cities:
- Miami
- Fort Lauderdale
- Hollywood
- West Palm Beach
- Boca Raton
- Delray Beach
- Boynton Beach
- Pompano Beach
- Homestead
- Key West
These cities are located in Miami-Dade, Broward, and Palm Beach counties.
What experts are saying about Florida
They predict that housing prices may decrease in 2023. The housing market has primarily been slowed down by higher borrowing rates.
In fact, the price of single family homes in Miami Dade county haven’t called that much from the height of the marketplace in 2022.
As of January 2023, [according to data obtained from Miami Realtors] the median price for homes in Miami Dade is $553,000.
Housing inventories low
Pre pandemic housing inventories approached over 20,000 active listings.
However, due to the pandemic, inventories crashed to under 8,000 active listings and today has crested above 10,000.
Inventories usually rise substantially during a market crisis.
There would most likely need to be a significant event that would cause both high unemployment and the number of listings in the marketplace to rise for some sort of major market decline. This would cause owners to sell their houses fast.
As long as listings remain low, a housing market crash in South Florida seems unlikely.
When will home prices drop In South Florida
If you’re a buyer in South Florida, you may be wondering when home prices will decrease. The housing market has seen tremendous growth over the last several years, yet experts don’t know what to expect for the future.
One of the primary reasons home prices in Florida have gone up is due to a shortage of housing inventory.
With so many people moving into the area, there simply aren’t enough houses available for them to purchase.
Another factor contributing to home prices rising faster than inflation indicates they may no longer be within reach of most potential house buyers.
However, the recent hurricane has created renewed interest in homes in Florida.
Thousands of homeowners have been displaced and will need to rebuild, potentially increasing demand for new construction.
How long will home prices continue to drop
After an unprecedented run that saw home prices and mortgage rates plummet, the housing market appears to have peaked.
While demand and price gains have slowed down, experts do not anticipate a crisis like what occurred during the Great Recession.
Not surprisingly, Florida is no different from other states in regards to economic cooling.
A rapid decline in affordability and increasing supply constraints are pushing sales activity lower across the board.
Miami-Dade County currently has an available inventory of just 3.3 months of homes for sale, which falls far short of what would be considered a balanced market (around 5 or 6 months).
However, it doesn’t take much time for trends to change in the housing market.
While this hasn’t stopped buyers from flocking to Florida yet, it has caused some roadblocks along the way.
home much will prices drop
Prices probably won’t drop much. Even Martin County has seen another jump in sales.
In 2009, home prices in South Florida fell 36% and foreclosures almost hit 9%.
That was then, now a robust economy, a vibrant real estate market and year-round warm weather have spurred home sales in South Florida, driving prices up significantly as a result.
However, this boom has recently come to a close and the housing market is starting to cool off.
While this may be bad news for some homeowners, it can be seen as an opportunity for rental property investors.
Home prices are expected to decline gradually through 2023, rather than experiencing a sudden crash, according to Goldman Sachs Research.
They cite several mitigating factors like the supply pipeline of new units, lending standards, household leverage and an optimistic near-to-medium term labor market outlook as potential catalysts.
top 5 overpriced housing markets in South Florida
If the economy experiences a recession, it could have an adverse effect on the housing market in South Florida.
A downturn would cause buyers to flee the market and prices to decrease.
The Federal Reserve has been raising interest rates since early 2022. When interest rates go up, it causes the pace of home sales to slow. It is just math.
According to a recent study, South Florida is among the most overpriced housing markets in America due to the influx of high-salaried remote workers into the state.
Here are the most expensive housing markets in South Florida
According to reports, some of the most expensive cities in South Florida are:
- Key Biscayne, FL
- Fisher Island, FL
- Miami Beach, FL
- Sunny Isles Beach, FL
- Aventura, FL
Florida is a Hot Spot for Real Estate Investment
Florida is one of the hottest spots for real estate investment.
Florida may be considered one of the most coveted real estate markets across the globe.
It hosts millions of tourists annually and, therefore, provides the ideal opportunity to any real estate investor who wants to invest in vacation rentals and make money.
Tighter lending laws and interest rates on mortgages will prevent a market crash in 2024 and into 2025..
The demand for homes in Florida will continue to go up, and home prices will rise over time.
Affordability in housing has been harder for people down in Florida, inventory remains low.
Not only does Florida sport the envious tourist industry, but there is also an active job market and also space for future growth in the future.